Delta Porto Tolle vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
DEL
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RIM
2 - 1
DEL
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
THE
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIN
0 - 1
DEL
13%
20%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
DEL
4 - 1
JMO
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MEZ
5 - 3
VIR
50%
23%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MEZ
1 - 2
VIN
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FID
0 - 0
MEZ
31%
27%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEZ
3 - 4
ABA
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 0
MEZ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |