Degerfors IF vs Varbergs BoIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
15º
15
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
DEG
2 - 2
HIF
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DEG
2 - 1
AIK
21%
25%
55%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HÄC
6 - 1
DEG
70%
18%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
DEG
0 - 2
NOR
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
GÖT
6 - 0
DEG
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
BRO
2 - 1
VAR
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 3
NOR
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 6
MFF
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
KAL
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |