Def. Unidos vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
ARM
2 - 2
CAD
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
CAD
0 - 0
LAF
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
DAL
1 - 1
CAD
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CAD
2 - 1
SBA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAD
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 2
ARR
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
LUJ
0 - 3
EXC
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAC
0 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 2
VSC
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |