Defensores Belgrano VR vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
8º
7º
44
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 3
DFR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DFR
0 - 0
CEN
23%
28%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DHA
1 - 0
DFR
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DFR
0 - 1
SAR
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
DFR
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
SPB
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
LIN
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 2
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 4
LIN
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |