Defensor Sporting vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 2
OPE
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 0
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 0
STR
67%
18%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |