Defensor Sporting vs Tacuarembó FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 4
DEF
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 3
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 4
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
CSC
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BVS
0 - 2
DEF
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
LFC
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
JUN
0 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TAC
0 - 1
ROC
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MWA
0 - 2
TAC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 1
REN
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |