Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEF
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
PRO
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
RAC
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 0
RAC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |