Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 1
ETS
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
PLA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 2
JUV
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 1
PLA
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 1
PLA
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |