Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
21%
26%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
DEF
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 4
RIV
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
COB
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
COB
0 - 0
PEÑ
36%
25%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LFC
0 - 4
PEÑ
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |