Defensor Sporting vs Paysandú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAY
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 2
PAY
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 0
PAY
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 3
LFC
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |