Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MWA
2 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MWA
7 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 3
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |