Defensor Sporting vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
1º
4
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DAN
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
PEÑ
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 1
DAN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |