Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEF
26%
28%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
21%
26%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SUD
3 - 2
FEN
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 2
ETS
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 0
FEN
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 1
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |