Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
JUN
0 - 5
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
UMO
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 3
DEF
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
VIL
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 0
CER
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAN
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 1
DAN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
UMO
2 - 3
DAN
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |