Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 4
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
DEF
4 - 0
RAC
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 0
DEF
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 0
LFC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 3
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 2
PEÑ
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
DAN
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
FEN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |