Defensor Sporting vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
OLM
4 - 2
DEF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 2
OLM
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1996 |
DEF
2 - 1
UCH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
SAO
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2001 |
OLM
2 - 3
CAZ
36%
23%
41%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
CAZ
4 - 1
TAC
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |