Defensor Sporting vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
3 - 0
TAC
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 1
DEF
34%
28%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
OLM
0 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |