Defensor Sporting vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
FEN
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
REN
2 - 2
ATE
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
ATE
1 - 1
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 3
ATE
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ATE
3 - 0
CSY
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CSM
1 - 1
ATE
23%
26%
50%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |