Defensor Sporting vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APC
3 - 2
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
APC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APC
3 - 2
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 2
CAR
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 3
APC
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
APC
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |