Defensor La Bocana vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
BOC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
HUA
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOC
45%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 4
UNI
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 3
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
AYA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
UTC
2 - 2
MUN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |