Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
0 - 0
DYJ
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
DYJ
3 - 3
RAC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
DYJ
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DYJ
2 - 1
PAT
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
DYJ
40%
26%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
ARS
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAU
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
NOB
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAU
53%
25%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |