Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 1
DYJ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DYJ
3 - 0
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
DYJ
42%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
DYJ
2 - 1
TIG
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
DYJ
1 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SLO
0 - 0
HUR
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SLO
1 - 1
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALD
2 - 2
SLO
37%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SLO
0 - 2
ATT
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |