Recopa Sudamerica . Final
Global 3-3
Defensa y Justicia vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
DYJ
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 1
VEL
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SLO
0 - 2
DYJ
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 1
DYJ
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
4 - 0
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
10%
23%
67%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |