Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
4 - 1
DEF
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
47%
30%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 2
DEF
48%
28%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 1
BAR
36%
31%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SUA
0 - 0
ALM
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
STM
2 - 2
SUA
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
SUA
1 - 0
PLA
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SUA
0 - 3
BAR
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UAI
1 - 0
SUA
37%
29%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |