Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 0
ITA
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
SUA
1 - 3
TEM
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
SUA
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 1
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
SUA
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
SUA
2 - 3
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |