Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
ESP
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
STM
1 - 2
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
ATL
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SUA
3 - 3
BAR
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
SUA
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 0
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
SUA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 2
ITA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |