Def. Belgrano vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
FER
41%
29%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CAI
2 - 1
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 1
GIM
37%
27%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
TFE
0 - 1
DEF
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 3
BEL
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ARM
0 - 1
PLA
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PLA
5 - 1
CCO
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
STM
1 - 1
PLA
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PLA
0 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TIG
0 - 0
PLA
43%
27%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |