Def. Belgrano vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 2
DEF
56%
27%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 2
GIM
29%
31%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
DEF
46%
28%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
RAF
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 0
DEF
68%
22%
11%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
INS
3 - 0
TIG
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 3
INS
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
INS
1 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
0 - 0
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
INS
2 - 3
SAR
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |