Def. Belgrano vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
DEF
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
VSC
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 3
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
FLA
48%
28%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
ESP
60%
24%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
STM
0 - 0
MOR
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |