Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
EXC
48%
30%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEF
55%
27%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
TAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
DEF
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
STM
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
FEN
30%
31%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 2
ACA
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |