Def. Belgrano vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 0
ARM
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LAM
0 - 1
DEF
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
VSC
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
DEF
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 1
TEM
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
BRO
29%
28%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 2
SUA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
BRO
3 - 1
COL
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |