Decic vs Jedinstvo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
47
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
DEC
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 3
SUT
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
SUT
42%
25%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
DEC
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
3 - 0
PET
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jedinstvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
JED
1 - 3
BUD
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 1
JED
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
JED
3 - 1
MOR
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JEZ
2 - 1
JED
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
JED
2 - 1
JEZ
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |