Deacons vs Wotton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
44.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
11º
9º
28
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 7 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
45% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deacons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
DEA
3 - 2
NOT
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UWI
3 - 1
DEA
66%
17%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
EMP
1 - 1
DEA
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BDF
1 - 4
DEA
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DEA
1 - 3
SAL
31%
22%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wotton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
WOT
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOT
4 - 0
SSA
88%
8%
4%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
WOT
0 - 2
PAR
51%
20%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 4
WOT
37%
21%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
UWI
2 - 3
WOT
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |