Deacons vs St. Andrews Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
11º
9º
21
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 43 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 38 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 31 |
8º
|
67% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 23 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 7 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
45% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deacons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
DEA
0 - 2
PAR
39%
21%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BRI
5 - 0
DEA
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DEA
2 - 1
SSA
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ELL
5 - 2
DEA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DEA
0 - 6
WEY
39%
21%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
St. Andrews Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BDF
0 - 3
SAL
50%
20%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
NOT
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
UWI
36%
20%
43%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
EMP
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
WOT
3 - 3
SAL
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |