De Ster vs EHC Hoensbroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
10º
7º
32
4º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Ster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 0
STE
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
STE
6 - 0
ZSV
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
STE
47%
22%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 1
STE
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
STE
0 - 4
BSV
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
EHC Hoensbroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 1
EHC
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
EHC
0 - 0
SVS
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EHC
1 - 4
ZSV
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EHC
2 - 2
MIN
42%
22%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
EHC
1 - 2
SCH
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |