DC United vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
DCU
3 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DCU
2 - 1
PHU
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
DCU
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
DCU
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 0
DCU
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
SJE
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAC
7%
15%
78%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
POR
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
NER
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |