Daventry Town vs March Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
74.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BEW
7 - 3
DAV
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
DAV
2 - 1
AYL
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
DAV
88%
8%
3%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
DAV
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
DAV
0 - 7
COR
10%
16%
75%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
March Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WIS
3 - 1
MTU
34%
21%
46%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
HIS
0 - 1
MTU
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MTU
1 - 0
NEW
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MTU
1 - 2
DES
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COV
1 - 2
MTU
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +2 |