Daventry Town vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
YAX
2 - 0
DAV
61%
19%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
DAV
0 - 4
ILK
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DAV
1 - 5
CAM
38%
25%
37%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
HIS
2 - 4
DAV
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
DAV
2 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAM
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAL
52%
21%
28%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
BED
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |