Daventry Town vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ROY
0 - 1
DAV
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
DAV
5 - 0
LEI
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DAV
1 - 0
HIL
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DAV
5 - 0
RUG
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 3
DAV
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BER
4 - 1
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
DUN
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BER
0 - 5
LEA
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +12 |
| 22 Apr. 2008 |
BER
0 - 1
CHE
13%
21%
66%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WIL
7 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | -1 |