Daventry Town vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
DAV
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DAV
2 - 0
LEI
74%
16%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AFH
2 - 0
DAV
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DAV
0 - 0
NOR
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HIT
2 - 1
DAV
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 5
BED
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
UXB
3 - 1
AYL
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AYL
8 - 1
STI
60%
20%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BED
0 - 1
AYL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 2
KET
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |