Dauphins Noirs vs Capaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dauphins Noirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DAU
2 - 0
SAN
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DAU
0 - 1
TPM
49%
29%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
DAU
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DAU
0 - 0
TSH
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DAU
3 - 0
CAP
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Capaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
TPM
3 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 0
CAP
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 3
SAI
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TSH
3 - 0
CAP
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 3
DBL
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |