Darwen FC vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1892 |
BUR
9 - 0
DAR
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1892 |
DAR
0 - 4
PNE
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1891 |
ASV
7 - 0
DAR
73%
16%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1891 |
BBU
4 - 0
DAR
77%
13%
9%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1891 |
SUN
7 - 0
DAR
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1892 |
NOT
2 - 1
DER
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1892 |
STO
1 - 3
NOT
26%
23%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1892 |
NOT
1 - 3
EVE
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1892 |
NOT
5 - 2
ASV
34%
23%
44%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1891 |
NOT
2 - 2
BBU
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |