Darwen FC vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1891 |
DAR
1 - 5
ASV
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1891 |
NOT
5 - 0
DAR
64%
19%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1891 |
DAR
3 - 5
BBU
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1891 |
STA
1 - 1
DAR
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1891 |
DAR
9 - 3
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1891 |
EVE
4 - 3
WBA
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1891 |
PNE
4 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1891 |
DER
0 - 3
EVE
34%
23%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1891 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1891 |
EVE
1 - 1
PNE
42%
22%
36%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |