Darmstadt 98 vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
STU
3 - 1
DAR
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 0
DAR
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 0
BAY
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
HOF
1 - 0
DAR
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 2
ELV
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
MAI
0 - 3
FEU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
OFC
0 - 1
MAI
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 1
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAI
2 - 0
186
44%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
BAY
0 - 0
MAI
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |