National League North . Jor. 15

Darlington FC vs Spennymoor Town analysis

Darlington FC Spennymoor Town
39 ELO 48
-1% Tilt 5.5%
5840º General ELO ranking 4868º
264º Country ELO ranking 204º
ELO win probability
24.5%
Darlington FC
23.2%
Draw
52.3%
Spennymoor Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
Darlington FC
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.2%
Win probability
Spennymoor Town
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Darlington FC
+77%
+83%
Spennymoor Town

Points and table prediction

Darlington FC
Their league position
Spennymoor Town
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
16º
24º
17º
74
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tamworth
96
96
100%
Scunthorpe United
88
88
100%
Brackley Town
85
85
100%
Chorley
83
83
100%
Alfreton Town
80
80
100%
Boston United
75
75
100%
Curzon Ashton
75
75
100%
South Shields
74
74
100%
Spennymoor Town
74
74
100%
Chester
10º
69
69
10º
100%
Hereford
11º
69
69
11º
100%
Warrington Town
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Scarborough Athletic
13º
64
64
13º
100%
Buxton
14º
62
62
14º
100%
Peterborough Sports
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Southport
17º
56
56
16º
100%
Darlington FC
16º
56
56
17º
100%
Kings Lynn Town
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Rushall Olympic
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Farsley Celtic
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Banbury United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Gloucester City
23º
36
36
23º
100%
Bishops Stortford
24º
21
21
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Darlington FC
Spennymoor Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Darlington FC
Spennymoor Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Darlington FC
Darlington FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
DAR
Darlington FC
0 - 0
Blyth Spartans
BLY
29%
25%
46%
39 46 7 0
14 Oct. 2023
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 2
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
29%
25%
46%
40 46 6 -1
07 Oct. 2023
TAM
Tamworth
4 - 0
Darlington FC
DAR
71%
18%
11%
41 53 12 -1
30 Sep. 2023
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 2
Scarborough Athletic
SCA
38%
25%
37%
42 44 2 -1
23 Sep. 2023
DAR
Darlington FC
1 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
42%
25%
33%
42 42 0 0

Matches

Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
SCU
Scunthorpe United
6 - 0
Spennymoor Town
SPE
33%
24%
42%
49 45 4 0
14 Oct. 2023
BRA
Brackley Town
3 - 1
Spennymoor Town
SPE
32%
27%
42%
50 48 2 -1
07 Oct. 2023
SPE
Spennymoor Town
3 - 0
Rushall Olympic
RUS
69%
19%
12%
49 42 7 +1
23 Sep. 2023
BUX
Buxton
0 - 2
Spennymoor Town
SPE
48%
25%
28%
48 49 1 +1
19 Sep. 2023
MAR
Marine
2 - 1
Spennymoor Town
SPE
30%
24%
47%
49 45 4 -1
X