Darlington FC vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
DAR
0 - 1
WAL
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BRA
5 - 1
DAR
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 2
DAR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DAR
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 0
KID
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GAI
0 - 1
MOR
31%
25%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 5
GAI
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
UNM
2 - 2
GAI
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 4
GAI
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ASH
3 - 1
GAI
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |