Danubio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 0
DAN
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
FEN
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 3
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ATE
0 - 2
DAN
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FEN
1 - 2
PEÑ
27%
25%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CSC
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
PEÑ
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |