Apertura Uruguay Apertura Round 2

Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis

Danubio Montevideo Wanderers
66 ELO 70
1.6% Tilt -9.1%
483º General ELO ranking 486º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Danubio
25.8%
Draw
37.9%
Montevideo Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
Danubio
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.9%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Danubio
-8%
-8%
Montevideo Wanderers

ELO progression

Danubio
Montevideo Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2020
CEL
Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
58%
24%
18%
68 74 6 0
05 Dec. 2019
BOS
Boston River
3 - 1
Danubio
DAN
46%
26%
27%
69 68 1 -1
27 Nov. 2019
DAN
Danubio
3 - 2
Racing Montevideo
RAC
51%
25%
24%
69 66 3 0
21 Nov. 2019
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
2 - 1
Danubio
DAN
55%
25%
21%
69 72 3 0
16 Nov. 2019
DAN
Danubio
1 - 2
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
40%
27%
33%
70 74 4 -1

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2020
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
45%
25%
30%
71 70 1 0
19 Jan. 2020
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
1 - 2
Progreso
PRO
40%
25%
36%
72 74 2 -1
05 Dec. 2019
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 2
Cerro CA
CER
61%
22%
16%
73 66 7 -1
27 Nov. 2019
PLA
Plaza Colonia
0 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
37%
27%
36%
73 73 0 0
21 Nov. 2019
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
2 - 1
Danubio
DAN
55%
25%
21%
72 69 3 +1