Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
DAN
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
4 - 4
FEN
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 2
DEF
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
JUV
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
JUN
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |