Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
LFC
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
DAN
40%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 1
ETS
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CSC
1 - 0
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
3 - 2
PEÑ
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
61%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 3
DEF
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
5 - 1
RAC
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |